Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 297.399225 336.822492 380.773433 433.634041 495.786740 566.911508 654.987754
2025-06-01 237.035956 287.872992 349.697269 431.318409 537.594393 673.183993 862.379097
2025-06-08 201.612944 255.703228 325.186157 422.628718 558.445079 745.213649 1029.070542
2025-06-15 179.697028 235.992949 311.597603 423.066964 587.658149 829.215292 1225.482837
2025-06-22 159.818298 215.791465 293.693672 413.337912 598.671895 886.110793 1390.066535
2025-06-29 146.253665 202.454564 283.237668 412.039240 620.665837 961.632098 1599.324508
2025-07-06 130.858913 184.705432 264.093595 394.501859 613.483299 987.098269 1724.737952
2025-07-13 125.850525 181.696066 266.507456 410.818802 663.834160 1118.711107 2079.361187
2025-07-20 121.791264 179.608434 269.908338 428.827223 719.380346 1269.481718 2513.230905
2025-07-27 115.091261 172.696960 264.760789 431.385439 746.965541 1371.490049 2870.331951
2025-08-03 106.746933 162.418212 253.054401 420.870861 748.053817 1419.855852 3115.976252
2025-08-10 99.787569 153.847169 243.428378 412.959580 752.914757 1476.694500 3399.071982
2025-08-17 96.706689 151.643523 244.774697 426.108358 803.427093 1646.517110 4045.826947
2025-08-24 91.548902 145.526579 238.732695 424.475338 822.952103 1750.118912 4549.574760
2025-08-31 85.901667 138.125695 229.717866 415.888117 825.903838 1814.158757 4959.029651
2025-09-07 82.025859 133.544482 225.442247 416.324849 849.105420 1934.265096 5601.161004
2025-09-14 77.189971 126.912824 216.806274 406.784429 847.710443 1989.492774 6045.129392
2025-09-21 73.791774 122.653361 212.317106 405.511041 865.885343 2102.652239 6757.960239
2025-09-28 68.772584 115.113904 200.975048 388.312254 842.493437 2092.593707 6984.953788
2025-10-05 67.920869 115.240427 204.568702 404.314265 905.332657 2352.825911 8485.701685
2025-10-12 67.239642 115.627708 208.688569 421.971839 975.746961 2657.748272 10411.038363
2025-10-19 65.030743 112.944616 206.373714 424.479943 1005.736444 2840.201850 11875.811517
2025-10-26 61.731004 107.955722 198.961937 414.170901 998.361454 2893.239408 12687.888312